Newgarden Starts Year Off with Victory at St. Petersburg

Josef Newgarden used a great pit strategy and was fortunate with traffic to come away with a victory at the opening race of the 2o19 IndyCar season at St. Petersburg on Sunday afternoon. Newgarden led for the final 60 laps of the race to win for the first time at St. Petersburg.

Will Power took a record eighth pole at St. Petersburg in 10 years during qualifying on Saturday, but Newgarden was only a tenth of a second behind him in the Firestone Fast Six Shootout to determine pole. Newgarden was in second place as the 24 cars approached the green flag to begin the race, but Power rocketed forward in the lead as Felix Rosenqvist dove inside to take second place from Newgarden. The cars ran in the same order until Sebastien Bourdais had engine problems on lap 14, causing Power to dive into the pits early to avoid getting stuck on track while the pits close during a caution. However, no yellow flags came out and the rest of the leaders pitted a few laps later after Rosenqvist inherited the lead from Power.

Ryan Hunter-Reay’s mechanical failure on lap 20 brought the leaders back together on a yellow flag, and Rosenqvist used a daring move on Power to pass him at Turn 1 to take the lead. Power stayed within striking distance over the next 30 laps before pitting on lap 51 for his second stop. Rosenqvist came in only a lap later, but Power was able to narrowly avoid clashing with the Swedish driver as he exited the pits and came out in front.

Newgarden made the bold decision to stay out for multiple extra laps after the other leaders pitted, meaning a yellow flag would effectively end his race as he would be forced to pit and join the field at the back. Marco Andretti held up Power and allowed Scott Dixon and Rosenqvist to catch him as Newgarden was putting in quick laps, allowing Newgarden to claim first place after a quick pit stop. The Honda-powered cars teamed up to hold up Newgarden later in the race as well, but Newgarden was able to get around Andretti and hold onto his lead that had been cut down to less than two seconds by Dixon as the race came to a close. Penske continued their dominance at St. Pete’s by winning their ninth race at the track since 2006.

Winners

  • Josef Newgarden. Duh.
  • Will Power. After two difficult finishes at St. Pete’s the last two years, Power put together a strong weekend to grab a big points haul as they head to Circuit of the Americas in two weeks. A goal for Team Penske that was brought up time-and-time again during the weekend was to get better on street courses in 2019. Finishing in first, third and seventh should keep Roger Penske happy for the time being.
  • Scott Dixon. After a hectic qualifying session that almost saw him start 13th before a penalty on Takuma Sato advanced him to the next round, a competitive second place finish isn’t a bad result for the Kiwi. This was his fourth runner-up finish at St. Pete’s, and it’s one of the few tracks that’s been run for years that he hasn’t won at. He also didn’t have his drink system working properly today, so kudos to him for toughing it out in the sweltering Florida heat.
  • Rookies. Felix Rosenqvist put in some big moves and held with the leaders all day to look like a worthy teammate of five-time champ Dixon. Colton Herta and Santino Ferrucci also completed their first top-10 finishes in the series, taking advantage of track position and some good pace.

Losers

  • Ryan Hunter-Reay. The driver who can’t seem to catch a break continued to have bad luck when his engine blew on lap 19 as he was going down the main straightaway into turn 1. Being 46 points behind the leader is a tough margin after only one round for the former series champ.
  • Sebastien Bourdais. A trendy pick to claim his third-straight win at St. Pete’s, Bourdais had engine problems on lap 9 and had no chance to show if he could put together another drive from the back of the field.
  • Marcus Ericsson. The former Formula 1 driver went on a different strategy by pitting only seven laps into the race for the harder compound tires, but he was able to rise back into the top-10 by the middle stint of the race. However, a mechanical issue caused him to return to the pits on lap 54 and end his debut early. He will have a chance to bounce back in two weeks at COTA. He has more experience than the rest of the field combined through his four Formula 1 starts at the track, including a 10th place finish last season.

How my picks finished

Push2Pass fared pretty well in the first week, correctly picking Power to grab the pole and getting two of the three podium finishers correct in Dixon and Power. However, I failed to pick any of the finishers in the correct order and picked Rossi to finish second when he came home in fifth. The quest for the perfect lineup will continue when IndyCar races in Austin for the first time on March 24.

St. Petersburg Preview

Josef Newgarden drives at the 2017 Kohler Grand Prix at Road America.

The first race of the 2019 season is set to hit the streets of St. Petersburg, Florida on March 10. There will be 24 entries into the race on Sunday, which equals the amount of entries in 2018. The Firestone Grand Prix of St. Petersburg was initially run in the Champ Car Series in 2003, but it has been a part of the NTT IndyCar Series since 2005. It has been the season opening-race since 2009, leading to lots of doubt and questions about which team will emerge on top entering the race each year.

Sebastien Bourdais has won the last two installments of the race, and only four active drivers have ever stood atop the podium at St. Pete’s. Graham Rahal won the race all the way back in 2008, James Hinchliffe won in 2013 and Will Power has finished on top in 2010 and 2014. Power has started on pole position an unbelievable seven times at St. Pete’s, with all seven coming between 2010 and 2017. He also qualified on the front row last season.

The race distance was increased to 110 laps in 2013, which raised it from 180 miles to 198. Since the switch, the race has lasted anywhere between 2 hours and 4 minutes to 2 hours and 22 minutes. Three rookies started within the top-four in the 2018 race, but Matheus Leist and Jordan King never got close to replicating that kind of pace for the rest of the season.

Team Penske has been the most successful team on track by far, winning eight of the 14 races since 2005. Bourdais won the race in 2017 after qualifying in last place, and he stormed back from 14th to grab the victory in 2018. Last year’s race was drama-filled as Alexander Rossi and rookie Robert Wickens battled into turn one on a restart on the final lap. Rossi dove inside and punted Wickens, effectively ending his race as Rossi came in third place. Bourdias benefited from the crash as he came home in front after a caution to end the race.

Race Predictions

Pole: Will Power

Winner: Will Power

2nd place: Alexander Rossi

3rd place: Scott Dixon

These three were the top drivers for the majority of last season, and I think that success will carry over into 2019. While Power hasn’t always converted his poles to wins at St. Pete’s, I think he will start off 2019 on a high note after four podiums in his final five races in 2018. Rossi and Dixon will continue to fight for wins this year, and they should be in close contention entering week two at Circuit of the Americas.

Race: 12:30 p.m. CST, NBC Sports Network

2019 Final Predictions

The NTT IndyCar Series will return to Road America for the fourth-straight year in 2019.

If you missed any of the 12 team previews on Push2Pass, here’s a compiled list of where I expect every driver to finish in the final standings in 2019.

Series Champ: Alexander Rossi

Rookie of the Year: Felix Rosenqvist

Championship Finish (Change from final standings of 2018)

Full-time drivers

  1. Alexander Rossi (+1)
  2. Scott Dixon (-1)
  3. Josef Newgarden (+2)
  4. Will Power (-1)
  5. Simon Pagenaud (+1)
  6. Ryan Hunter-Reay (-2)
  7. James Hinchcliffe (+3)
  8. Felix Rosenqvist (New)
  9. Sebastien Bourdais (-2)
  10. Graham Rahal (-2)
  11. Marcus Ericsson (New)
  12. Spencer Pigot (+2)
  13. Marco Andretti (-4)
  14. Takuma Sato (-2)
  15. Zach Veach (+0)
  16. Colton Herta (New)
  17. Tony Kanaan (-1)
  18. Santino Ferrucci (New)
  19. Max Chilton (+0)
  20. Matheus Leist (-2)

Part-time drivers

  1. Pato O’Ward (13 races)
  2. Ed Jones (13 races)
  3. Jack Harvey (10 races)
  4. Ed Carpenter (5 races)
  5. Charlie Kimball (5 races)
  6. Ben Hanley (5 races)
  7. Kyle Kaiser (1 race)

Note: We’re still waiting for more news on season schedules for Juncos drivers.